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Flying68

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Posts posted by Flying68

  1. I drive ~18k miles per year, average about 17 mpg, so I am a super user.  There currently isn't an EV that will fit my needs and the infrastructure isn't their to support it.  My specific case is that I regularly make a 500 mile journey that doesn't have any EV support at the destination, nor any within 30 miles.  There isn't an EV available that will fit my needs to replace my current ride.  However, if we replace my wife's vehicle which is driven about 9,000 miles per year with an EV and it was a larger 2 row instead of the small 2 row (which our kids don't really fit in the back of anymore), we could conceivably reduce the mileage on the big vehicle and use the EV exclusively for the routine cross city drives we make.  This might cut down about 6,000 miles per year on the big SUV.  Or better yet, if they had a large SUV PHEV that increased the fuel mileage to 22 mpg instead of 17 mpg, it would basically have the same effect.

  2. Modern electronic dash displays have the actual mileage stored in multiple memory locations in the vehicle computer.  This prevents rollback and serves as a backup in case the odometer or other parts of the dash fail.  It would appear that 1503 km was the actual vehicle mileage, and the service writeup was nothing more than a confirmation that distance wasn't unexpected.  There should be no branded title.

  3. The proper way to frame energy usage is in terms of minimizing the burning or usage of carbon based fuels (create less waste).  We know that the use of carbon fuels can't be eliminated completely, but you can try to achieve higher efficiencies for what you do use and replace other usage with more energy efficient methods.  ICE engine efficiency is probably as maxed out as it can practically get.  Electric motor efficiency is much greater (+90% vs ICE's 35%-40%).  So then we have to figure out what the efficiency of the grid is and of course the mineral extraction, etc..  There are a bundle of papers out their that study the total carbon emissions for both ICE and EV and they are pretty close initially, with ICE possibly having a slight advantage, but most of those studies show over the lifetime of a vehicle the EV beats the ICE vehicle on total emissions even with the current average US mix of power.  Newer technology solid state batteries that use more common metals and minerals and increasing renewable energy sources in the power grid will tilt the scales even further.  But as has been pointed out, BEV's aren't necessarily the solution for everyone or every application right now.

  4. 14 minutes ago, Deanh said:

    really?...maybe Im missing something, I guess any energy source has its own warts, but from everything Ive read hydrogen itself is  clean fuel, when utilized in a fuel cell rproduces only water,  it can be produced by natural gas, nuclear power, biomass and...wait for it..."renewable power" such as solar and wind....that said...I doubt its any dirtier than what it takes to produce electricity let alone the minerals required for batteries?....isnt Ford testing big rigs with Fuel cells?............

    Hydrogen is clean.  The problem is that the cheapest way to get hydrogen is from natural gas, but that is dirty.  To dissociate water into H2 and O2 is very energy intensive, it would take a bit over 60 kw-hr to produce 1 kg of H2.  Fuel cells are around 60% efficient (at most) so you lose at least 40% of your engery (better than petrol ICE though).  The other problem with H2 is the storing and shipping, not easy to maintain those super cooled tanks to contain liquid H2.  I think the biggest gain from H2 would be in long haul trucking where you can be more efficient with large fleets and centralized fueling.  You could potentially build big rigs that wouldn't have to refuel anywhere other than there home ports or specific depots because the energy density of H2 is so high they wouldn't have to fill up as often.

    • Like 1
  5. 10 hours ago, jpd80 said:

    This is the company telling us that the have customer orders up the whazoo in US as well as Europe.

    I mean, that was the whole reason that Ford put the third shift on….

    From a shareholder perspective, when you lose money on each build, I question why they are increasing production only to have units sitting unsold on lots.  If they have all these customer orders, they should be building those instead of stock units.  I get commodity restraints, but I don't want my margins lowered just to build a bunch of cars that don't sell well.

     

    It is like they are thinking "We lose money on each unit, but we are going to make it up with volume."

    • Like 1
  6. 11 hours ago, tbone said:


    Isn’t this a distinction without a difference?

    No, when it is sitting at the dealership, Ford has already "sold" it, removing Ford's incentive to actively manage inventory to what customers want.  It also creates a mismatch geographically if you send these builds to places where they won't be purchased.  Holding at the factory allows them to ship each unit to where it needs to go.  While Tesla doesn't hold at the factory, they have fewer distribution points and still control the pricing because they don't have dealers, so they are incentivized to drop prices on overstocked vehicles.  Tesla has been known to contact folks and tell them you ordered this, but we have this available at the nearest distribution center and will offer it at a discounted price if you take it, plus you get it faster.

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  7. Stock orders for EV's is a mistake. Ford should be working to a Tesla style model where you order what you want and they either have it at the factory ready to ship or build it within 6 weeks. Sending stock inventory (any more than 1 or two demo units) to dealers isn't what EV buyers are used to. The other issue is that pricing is way to high and the change to the tax incentives didn't help.  Tesla manages their inventory by offering steep discounts if you are willing to take something they have sitting in their holding lots instead of the specific configuration that you wanted.

    • Like 1
  8. 3 hours ago, fuzzymoomoo said:


    Which is why I would rather have it as part of my regular paycheck where the tax rate is lower. 

     

    3 hours ago, HotRunrGuy said:

     

    Why does it matter?  April 15th of each year you are taxed on the total income, there are not different tax rates for base wages vs bonuses.  Taking more out of a bonus either provides a larger refund, or lessens what you owe.  It's just a money-shift.

     

    HRG

     

    Federal tax withholdings on lump sum bonuses are 25%.  This may or may not be higher or lower than an individuals normal withholding (everyone is different).  They do this to make it easier to withhold, rather than using the tables or formulas based on frequency of payment which could result in an absurdly large withholding.  The 25% is basically the middle of the tax bracket and like @HotRunrGuy said, when you file your taxes, the lump sum bonus is part of your total income and calculates the same, so really the 25% just affects how much you get back or have to pay, but it isn't taxed at a different rate.

     

    TL:DR Tax rates and withholding rate are not the same. 

  9. 1 hour ago, SoonerLS said:

    Range. AM has a far longer range than FM, so AM stations (particularly in the clear channel frequencies) can be heard where FM is absent. Back in the day, KOMA out of Oklahoma City could be heard from Mexico to Canada at night when the conditions were right. 

    KOA in Denver "The 50,000 Watt Blowtorch" was similar, you could pick it up a long ways away (to the east) on a good night.  Coincidently, AM is also the same frequency band that ADF's in airplanes use.  A lot of older airplanes still have ADF antenna's and you can tune in an AM station to listen too while flying and get a bearing at the same time.

  10. 16 hours ago, akirby said:


    They’re not losing $60k gross on each vehicle - that’s just the math when you factor in the blue oval city investments and other costs that aren’t yet producing revenue.  They might be losing money on actual Mach-E production though.

     

    This! The main reason for separating out EV's from ICE and commercial is the significant investment required for EV. Made the whole company look bad together, but when split out investors can see 10% operating margins in other parts of the business and can weigh the EV margins more in line with pure EV companies.

    • Like 1
  11. 42 minutes ago, CajunCowboy said:

    I AM that guy.  2 days ago I saw a 2023 F-250 Lariat Ultimate with Sport Appearance and Tremor package at a dealer online and promptly called my dealer to order one.  A few weeks ago they told me that my Platinum build (ordered November 2, 2022) was scheduled to be picked up in June.  If I get a good feeling on the new build, I might just release the Platinum.  If anyone is interested in seeing ACTUAL pictures of the vehicle that changed my mind, it’s at https://www.piersonford.com/new/Ford/2023-Ford-F-250SD-aberdeen-sd-63924cb00a0e0a9436a5be18c648fe96.htm

    That is insane, they are asking $105k for a Lariat.  Even worse is it stickers a $94k.  They have $11,000 in ADM ?

  12. 13 hours ago, Captainp4 said:

    I know the article didn't specify, but maybe someone else knows.. why would you remove the battery pack to spray??

     

    1 hour ago, Chrisgb said:

    Just speculation on my part, but there may be an electrostatic buildup, as the paint could act as an anode as it is applied.

     

    Electrostatic painting is often used in order to reduce waste and get better coverage, probably not a good idea to do that with a high voltage battery installed.

    • Like 2
  13. On 4/20/2023 at 5:35 PM, MKX1960 said:

    I saw it and was surprised the Nautilus still exists. I really like the looks of the interior. Makes me glad I passed on the 22 I had ordered last year. My only reservation so far is only a 4 cylinder engine and CVT mated to the higher output one.

    The e-cvt is not a traditional cvt. It is basically a fixed gear reduction drive with an electric motor mounted to it. The output ratio is varied by how much input or retard is applied to that same gearset thus changing the effective final output ratio from the ICE engine.

  14. 51 minutes ago, Bob Rosadini said:

    How many people started "driving"  as a very young kid-as did I- on a Ford tractor?   And as a college kid working his way through school I graduated to  a Ford TLB.  For sure tractors were a part of Ford's legacy.

     

    1947 or 48 8-N was what I learned on.  Was the only tractor on my grandfather's ranch.  After he passed, it eventually was stolen because of the remote location and nobody living on the property.  But now my dad has acquired 20 ford tractors from the late 40's to the 50's including a couple Jubilees, an 801, a 901, 2 Awesome Henry V8 conversions, and the rest are all 8-N's.  Don't think he has any 9-N's.

    • Like 1
  15. 16 hours ago, Diesel Dude said:

    I need help understanding why my 22 SD has a payload capacity of 2543 but the Rear Axle Weight rating is 6340.  I’m looking at a 5th wheel with a hitch weight of 2709, but the I’ll be within the GCVWR of 23500.

    What is the consequence of going over my payload cap, and are there any other things I should be aware of and approach with caution?

     

    2022 F250 w/o upgraded towing package

     

    Technical answer here: Payload is GVWR - Curb weight.  GVWR is the maximum vehicle weight that the vehicle is designed and tested to for DOT purposes.  Often in order to achieve that GVWR, it requires axle ratings that when combined are greater than the GVWR.  This is so that the vehicle can accommodate a multitude of loading configurations from full pax and minimal payload in the bed, to driver only with a max bumper pull trailer on the back and the bed loaded with the rest of the weight.  In both these scenarios, the total weight of the truck can be exactly the same, but the individual axle weights would be quite different.

    • Like 1
  16. Deming went to Japan in the 50's because they were willing to listen, when American manufacturers were not.  They had the motivation to improve because their industrial base was devastated.  I don't think the Korean companies have ever been invested in lean principles like the Japanese companies have been.  But quality escapes do happen and can be major mistakes despite quality systems.  The problems come when you fail to correct those mistakes (i.e. the Hyundai / KIA engine issues).  Second point is that JIT manufacturing is not the same as lean.  JIT is a supply chain model, lean is a manufacturing principal to minimize waste and inefficiency.  So you don't necessarily have to follow a complete JIT supply process to be lean, and just because you are JIT doesn't mean you are lean.  Kaizen is an improvement event.  Kaizen is not a process or principal, it is just an event where processes are looked at and improved by everyone involved.  Kaizen is used as part of lean.

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