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6 reasons to take talk of an FCA-GM deal seriously


Mad Hatter

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http://www.freep.com/story/money/cars/chrysler/2015/06/18/fiat-chrysler-fca-marchionne-gm-general-motors-merger/28853709/

 

 

2. Talk of a hostile takeover of GM. Max Warburton, a respected analyst who has watched Marchionne closely for years, issued a research note last week raising the possibility of Marchionne launching a hostile takeover bid for GM.

Warburton breaks it down this way: "The mechanics of such a bid look ambitious – in fact, they are without precedent. Selling it to shareholders, unions and anti-trust authorities would be hugely complex. But stranger things have happened."

Even though FCA is a smaller company and is carrying a lot of debt, Warburton said, "We believe it's necessary to start taking this idea more seriously."

 

Mergio is hell-bent on a shotgun wedding, but I'm not seeing this. What do y'all think?

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Wait. WHAT?

 

LOOK AT SOME OF THESE REASONS WHY THIS DEAL SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY:

 

1. The companies are taking it seriously. ...

GM CEO Mary Barra has publicly and privately rejected Marchionne's overtures.

 

3. Marchionne's e-mail. Marchionne sent Barra an e-mail earlier this year in which he presented the case for the two automakers combining resources. Barra rejected that e-mail.

 

4. Greenlight Capital's purchase of a lot of stock. David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital bought nearly 9.5 million shares over the first three months of this year, making it one of GM's largest shareholders.

A spokesperson for Einhorn declined to comment on the reason behind Greenlight's decision to purchase more GM shares.

 

6. Marchionne is right, to an extent, about consolidation. ....

FCA is the most truck-heavy automaker in the U.S. and is close to last among major automakers for sales of electric and hybrid cars. Other automakers are farther along on these issues

 

 

I don't know what Snavely's thinking here. Reasons 1 & 3 are, in fact, reasons NOT to take this deal seriously, reason 4 is completely irrelevant and reason 6 provides absolutely NO reason for GM to ever consider consolidation w/Fiat.

 

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Regarding the possibility of a hostile takeover:

 

The only way FCA can takeover GM is by a leveraged buyout, and FCA is so stupendously overleveraged as it is, no bank would ever consider financing a takeover attempt launched by FCA.

Edited by RichardJensen
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Sabre rattling by Sergio, the fact that he's appealing to GM stock holders in public shows that he has almost zero traction

in getting this deal-merger-hostile take over anywhere near the table. In the end, Sergio will be forced to take what he can get.

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This is insanity, plain and simple...the ONLY reason he wants a merger is so that he can get his hands on GM's pile of cash....he doesn't care one bit about consolidation...if he did care, he would attempt a tie-up with Ford or Nissan.

not Ford with the Ford family owning 40% of voting stock

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not Ford with the Ford family owning 40% of voting stock

 

FYI:

 

They own all of the Class B shares which carry 40% of the votes. Class B shares are, IIRC, only about 5% of the total float.

 

In short: 95% of the stock has 60% of the vote, 5% of the stock has 40% of the vote.

 

Also, if Class B stock is sold outside the Ford family, it becomes Class A stock.

Edited by RichardJensen
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