I hardly think xB customers are going to look at a Flex, while possible, I think it's unlikely. (mainly b/c of the price difference)
What Mazda S-Max are you talking about? the CX-9?
I too am beginning to see a lot of new Taurus/Taurus X's. Actually, I believe I'm seeing more Taurus X's than the Taurus, but still, I'm seeing increased numbers of both.
Thats a good chop of the XJ, good job. Personally, I'm not so sure that rear end works on a sedan, but it's a good chop, nonetheless. Maybe having the headlights and license plate cutout lower would help?
IIRC, I read somewhere that the modifications to the front, how little they may be, allowed the 6.4L to fit into the E-series. I could be wrong though.
You expect crossovers to be flat or down as well? Hmm.
I think I'll go against you here, I think crossover sales will be up. I suppose we'll see for sure when the results come out.